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Red237
6948104.0
6386142.5
5522141.9
Blue263
5516121.3
6952114.7
6356109.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328219100300400500600237263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.53.8
133.0136.8
Auto14.4
Teleop112.1
End18.7
red by 21.1
5516
#19
121.30.4
120.9120.5
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
Second
141.92.5
131.3133.7
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End17.5
red by 27.3
6952
#21
114.70.6
112.5113.1
Auto13.2
Teleop91.4
End10.6
Third
6948
#31
104.00.5
101.8102.3
Auto14.0
Teleop79.8
End11.9
blue by 5.0
6356
#15
109.00.3
106.6106.9
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed