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Red45
7009100.1
1884140.3
6801121.3
Blue392
6941113.3
5839119.6
5823137.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3042865010015020025035040045045392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.33.7
136.6140.3
Auto15.5
Teleop113.5
End13.4
red by 2.5
137.81.2
133.6134.8
Auto21.3
Teleop106.0
End13.1
Second
6801
#18
121.31.3
120.7122.1
Auto14.5
Teleop99.1
End7.2
red by 1.7
5839
#28
119.60.5
120.7120.1
Auto15.7
Teleop86.3
End19.9
Third
7009
#35
100.10.1
103.5103.4
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End10.8
blue by 13.2
6941
#13
113.30.0
116.5116.5
Auto16.2
Teleop88.9
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed