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Red32
630496.2
544587.7
7184111.7
Blue404
5453160.8
5516121.3
5522141.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692685010015020025030035040032404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7184
#27
111.713.2
77.791.0
Auto12.6
Teleop81.3
End20.5
blue by 49.1
160.88.9
91.5100.4
Auto18.3
Teleop126.5
End17.7
Second
6304
#25
96.28.1
101.5109.6
Auto15.3
Teleop77.7
End4.2
blue by 45.8
141.913.3
90.4103.7
Auto19.2
Teleop107.5
End17.5
Third
5445
#29
87.711.0
78.789.7
Auto15.5
Teleop69.9
End3.2
blue by 33.6
5516
#19
121.39.2
83.792.9
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed