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Red201
7149118.4
6393107.3
5849118.3
Blue207
5831126.9
6356109.0
700093.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392550100200300400500600201207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7149
#17
118.410.1
77.787.9
Auto16.2
Teleop93.2
End11.0
blue by 8.5
126.910.8
80.991.7
Auto16.4
Teleop101.8
End10.6
Second
5849
#20
118.38.1
80.188.2
Auto13.9
Teleop85.7
End20.7
red by 9.2
6356
#15
109.011.5
72.183.6
Auto14.1
Teleop87.1
End9.9
Third
6393
#11
107.310.0
74.484.4
Auto17.9
Teleop85.5
End6.9
red by 14.2
7000
#33
93.19.7
77.787.5
Auto14.2
Teleop76.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed