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Qual 702018 Shenzhen Regional
Red183
723892.9
1884140.3
7047109.2
Blue362
5831126.9
1797119.4
5849118.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2302880100200400500600183362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1884
#7
140.30.2
140.3→140.5
Auto15.5
Teleop113.5
End13.4
red by 13.4
5831
#4
126.91.4
123.0→124.4
Auto16.4
Teleop101.8
End10.6
Second
7047
#16
109.20.3
108.3→108.6
Auto14.7
Teleop90.1
End5.8
blue by 10.2
1797
#10
119.40.1
119.1→119.2
Auto15.6
Teleop93.1
End10.6
Third
7238
#30
92.91.3
95.5→94.2
Auto12.0
Teleop78.2
End1.2
blue by 25.4
5849
#20
118.30.1
115.4→115.5
Auto13.9
Teleop85.7
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed