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Red397
638388.0
5516121.3
5823137.8
Blue222
6402120.4
7184111.7
6948104.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283256100200400500397222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.80.8
135.2136.0
Auto21.3
Teleop106.0
End13.1
red by 17.4
6402
#12
120.41.5
116.7118.2
Auto13.6
Teleop93.5
End14.7
Second
5516
#19
121.30.7
121.3120.7
Auto18.6
Teleop95.2
End8.1
red by 9.6
7184
#27
111.71.0
110.7111.7
Auto12.6
Teleop81.3
End20.5
Third
6383
#26
88.00.9
87.188.0
Auto12.9
Teleop74.8
End3.1
blue by 16.0
6948
#31
104.00.6
103.0103.6
Auto14.0
Teleop79.8
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed