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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Hawaii Regional
Red459
359190.0
4253220.3
244130.5
Blue157
2444126.2
3008145.6
4270121.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4632260100300400600700800459157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#1
220.30.2
219.1→219.3
Auto30.8
Teleop153.5
End37.1
red by 74.7
3008
#14
145.60.0
145.7→145.7
Auto17.2
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Second
359
#3
190.00.1
190.8→190.6
Auto22.4
Teleop135.1
End31.9
red by 63.8
2444
#25
126.20.4
127.1→126.6
Auto19.3
Teleop98.2
End10.7
Third
244
#26
130.50.1
131.0→130.9
Auto16.0
Teleop100.3
End11.8
red by 9.2
4270
#33
121.30.0
121.3→121.3
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6