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Qual 812018 Hawaii Regional
Red198
2441100.8
3882160.5
3721127.6
Blue377
4984166.1
1378105.0
387894.1
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643230100200400500600198377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#5
160.52.2
164.1→161.9
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
blue by 5.5
4984
#2
166.12.1
160.2→162.3
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
Second
3721
#29
127.60.8
128.4→127.6
Auto17.1
Teleop101.8
End7.2
red by 22.6
1378
#21
105.00.4
103.2→103.6
Auto12.8
Teleop87.9
End2.5
Third
2441
#32
100.80.5
101.4→100.8
Auto13.9
Teleop76.8
End9.5
red by 6.8
3878
#20
94.11.6
92.5→94.1
Auto13.1
Teleop67.9
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed