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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Hawaii Regional
Red290
6909130.4
3882160.5
2438114.1
Blue292
2445140.0
2443137.0
21691.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3052750100200400500600290292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.50.7
161.2160.5
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
red by 20.5
2445
#18
140.00.1
140.0140.0
Auto18.2
Teleop108.9
End14.9
Second
6909
#10
130.40.8
129.6130.4
Auto15.4
Teleop102.1
End14.7
blue by 6.6
137.00.2
136.3136.5
Auto24.2
Teleop103.0
End10.7
Third
2438
#36
114.10.1
114.0114.1
Auto15.6
Teleop91.1
End6.5
red by 22.3
216
#34
91.80.6
92.892.2
Auto12.8
Teleop78.1
End2.4