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Semifinal 2-22018 Hawaii Regional
Red369
368164.9
4984166.1
1378105.0
Blue227
1661124.5
1622163.5
2477113.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3612630100200300400500600700800369227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4984
#2
166.10.6
164.3→165.0
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
red by 2.5
1622
#4
163.50.2
163.4→163.5
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End26.8
Second
368
#8
164.90.3
164.1→164.4
Auto20.9
Teleop121.5
End22.3
red by 40.4
1661
#6
124.50.2
124.3→124.5
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
Third
1378
#21
105.00.3
104.3→104.6
Auto12.8
Teleop87.9
End2.5
blue by 8.1
2477
#31
113.10.1
113.2→113.1
Auto15.2
Teleop87.0
End9.7