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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Hawaii Regional
Red319
368164.9
4984166.1
1378105.0
Blue279
2090132.9
2465134.9
6704142.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3712820100200500600700800319279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4984
#2
166.10.7
162.3→163.0
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
red by 23.9
6704
#22
142.20.4
141.4→141.8
Auto18.3
Teleop106.4
End18.1
Second
368
#8
164.90.3
163.3→163.6
Auto20.9
Teleop121.5
End22.3
red by 29.9
2465
#12
134.90.0
135.0→135.0
Auto15.5
Teleop106.8
End11.0
Third
1378
#21
105.00.2
103.6→103.9
Auto12.8
Teleop87.9
End2.5
blue by 27.9
2090
#13
132.90.6
131.8→132.4
Auto16.0
Teleop95.1
End23.3