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Qual 162018 Hawaii Regional
Red181
387894.1
5625121.6
244130.5
Blue330
6704142.2
2437123.5
2090132.9
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252303100150200350400450181330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#26
130.50.5
140.9→140.4
Auto16.0
Teleop100.3
End11.8
blue by 11.7
6704
#22
142.26.0
112.8→118.7
Auto18.3
Teleop106.4
End18.1
Second
5625
#24
121.65.5
90.5→96.0
Auto16.1
Teleop90.1
End17.3
blue by 11.4
2090
#13
132.96.7
106.9→113.6
Auto16.0
Teleop95.1
End23.3
Third
3878
#20Sur
94.13.0
88.3→91.3
Auto13.1
Teleop67.9
End16.0
blue by 29.4
2437
#9
123.51.1
103.7→104.7
Auto17.6
Teleop93.1
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed