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Red139
5701120.5
1378105.0
3881126.3
Blue187
3721127.6
1739124.8
2477113.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244309100200400500139187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3881
#17
126.39.2
96.6105.8
Auto18.2
Teleop96.8
End8.5
blue by 1.3
3721
#29Sur
127.68.4
101.7110.1
Auto17.1
Teleop101.8
End7.2
Second
5701
#27
120.55.5
96.8102.3
Auto14.4
Teleop96.2
End9.8
blue by 4.3
1739
#23
124.88.1
103.1111.1
Auto14.9
Teleop95.6
End14.9
Third
1378
#21Sur
105.04.4
91.696.0
Auto12.8
Teleop87.9
End2.5
blue by 8.1
2477
#31
113.111.2
90.1101.4
Auto15.2
Teleop87.0
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed