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Qual 142018 Hawaii Regional
Red271
7069111.9
2853105.9
4984166.1
Blue249
6308103.0
2439120.1
3882160.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306287100150200250350400450500271249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4984
#2Sur
166.11.7
146.7→148.3
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
red by 5.5
3882
#5Sur
160.52.5
151.9→154.4
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
Second
7069
#15
111.97.5
85.7→93.2
Auto17.1
Teleop86.8
End5.9
blue by 8.2
2439
#19
120.15.2
104.7→109.9
Auto18.7
Teleop98.5
End1.6
Third
2853
#30
105.96.4
106.4→112.8
Auto17.1
Teleop81.8
End8.2
red by 2.9
6308
#28
103.04.5
86.5→90.9
Auto14.8
Teleop78.9
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed