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Qual 132018 Hawaii Regional
Red316
244130.5
2443137.0
6909130.4
Blue405
288155.3
6309101.6
2445140.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293296200250350400450316405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#7
137.07.0
107.7→114.7
Auto24.2
Teleop103.0
End10.7
blue by 18.3
288
#11
155.30.5
141.6→142.2
Auto19.6
Teleop121.1
End16.4
Second
244
#26
130.50.8
141.8→140.9
Auto16.0
Teleop100.3
End11.8
blue by 9.5
2445
#18
140.010.1
95.8→105.9
Auto18.2
Teleop108.9
End14.9
Third
6909
#10
130.46.4
88.7→95.2
Auto15.4
Teleop102.1
End14.7
red by 28.8
6309
#35
101.64.9
86.9→91.7
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed