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Qual 122018 Hawaii Regional
Red195
4270121.3
1378105.0
2441100.8
Blue273
21691.8
2465134.9
2896117.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247270100150200300350400450195273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#33
121.31.5
120.6→122.0
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6
blue by 13.7
2465
#12
134.911.7
91.8→103.5
Auto15.5
Teleop106.8
End11.0
Second
1378
#21
105.07.4
84.2→91.6
Auto12.8
Teleop87.9
End2.5
blue by 12.1
2896
#16
117.112.3
86.1→98.4
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End16.0
Third
2441
#32
100.814.2
73.6→87.8
Auto13.9
Teleop76.8
End9.5
red by 9.1
216
#34
91.82.1
110.3→108.1
Auto12.8
Teleop78.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed