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Qual 112018 Hawaii Regional
Red80
5625121.6
387894.1
6308103.0
Blue260
2444126.2
3800105.7
2439120.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23030610020040050080260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5625
#24
121.613.0
77.5→90.5
Auto16.1
Teleop90.1
End17.3
blue by 4.6
2444
#25
126.210.2
99.1→109.2
Auto19.3
Teleop98.2
End10.7
Second
6308
#28
103.011.4
75.0→86.5
Auto14.8
Teleop78.9
End10.5
blue by 17.1
2439
#19
120.19.6
95.1→104.7
Auto18.7
Teleop98.5
End1.6
Third
3878
#20
94.19.1
79.2→88.3
Auto13.1
Teleop67.9
End16.0
blue by 11.6
3800
#37
105.712.6
83.4→95.9
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed