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Qual 102018 Hawaii Regional
Red468
7069111.9
4253220.3
288155.3
Blue216
3721127.6
2090132.9
2443137.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3812370100200300500600468216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#1
220.32.1
195.5→197.6
Auto30.8
Teleop153.5
End37.1
red by 83.4
2443
#7
137.08.7
99.0→107.7
Auto24.2
Teleop103.0
End10.7
Second
288
#11
155.30.3
142.0→141.6
Auto19.6
Teleop121.1
End16.4
red by 22.3
2090
#13
132.98.3
98.6→106.9
Auto16.0
Teleop95.1
End23.3
Third
7069
#15
111.98.0
77.7→85.7
Auto17.1
Teleop86.8
End5.9
blue by 15.7
3721
#29
127.611.0
90.7→101.7
Auto17.1
Teleop101.8
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed