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Red135
3008145.6
6309101.6
5701120.5
Blue349
1739124.8
3881126.3
4984166.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281313150200250350400450500135349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3008
#14
145.60.3
141.1140.9
Auto17.2
Teleop108.2
End21.5
blue by 20.4
166.11.0
145.6146.7
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
Second
5701
#27
120.513.4
83.496.8
Auto14.4
Teleop96.2
End9.8
blue by 5.8
3881
#17
126.311.4
85.196.6
Auto18.2
Teleop96.8
End8.5
Third
6309
#35
101.612.3
74.586.9
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End6.1
blue by 23.2
1739
#23
124.89.7
93.3103.1
Auto14.9
Teleop95.6
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed