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Qual 82018 Hawaii Regional
Red281
2853105.9
6909130.4
359190.0
Blue375
2437123.5
3882160.5
368164.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346291200400500600281375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
190.01.1
180.7→181.8
Auto22.4
Teleop135.1
End31.9
red by 25.1
368
#8
164.99.0
114.3→123.3
Auto20.9
Teleop121.5
End22.3
Second
6909
#10
130.411.0
77.7→88.7
Auto15.4
Teleop102.1
End14.7
blue by 30.1
3882
#5
160.51.8
150.2→151.9
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
Third
2853
#30
105.911.0
95.4→106.4
Auto17.1
Teleop81.8
End8.2
blue by 17.6
2437
#9
123.50.2
103.9→103.7
Auto17.6
Teleop93.1
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed