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Red196
6704142.2
2443137.0
2438114.1
Blue413
2477113.1
1661124.5
1622163.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335244100200300400500600196413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6704
#22
142.210.9
101.9112.8
Auto18.3
Teleop106.4
End18.1
blue by 21.4
163.50.4
149.7150.2
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End26.8
Second
137.015.0
84.099.0
Auto24.2
Teleop103.0
End10.7
red by 12.5
124.50.8
104.0103.2
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
Third
2438
#36
114.19.7
104.6114.3
Auto15.6
Teleop91.1
End6.5
red by 1.0
2477
#31
113.111.5
78.690.1
Auto15.2
Teleop87.0
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed