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Qual 62018 Hawaii Regional
Red234
3881126.3
6309101.6
3721127.6
Blue248
3800105.7
5625121.6
2896117.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270264150200250300350234248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3721
#29
127.616.0
74.8→90.7
Auto17.1
Teleop101.8
End7.2
red by 6.0
5625
#24
121.617.7
59.8→77.5
Auto16.1
Teleop90.1
End17.3
Second
3881
#17
126.316.7
68.5→85.1
Auto18.2
Teleop96.8
End8.5
red by 9.2
2896
#16
117.116.6
69.5→86.1
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End16.0
Third
6309
#35
101.618.0
56.5→74.5
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End6.1
blue by 4.1
3800
#37
105.716.9
66.5→83.4
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed