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Qual 212018 Hawaii Regional
Red125
2441100.8
5625121.6
2445140.0
Blue343
6309101.6
1661124.5
3882160.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263308100200400500125343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2445
#18
140.08.6
114.7→123.3
Auto18.2
Teleop108.9
End14.9
blue by 20.5
3882
#5
160.51.8
154.4→156.2
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
Second
5625
#24
121.61.8
96.0→97.9
Auto16.1
Teleop90.1
End17.3
blue by 2.9
1661
#6
124.51.6
104.7→106.3
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
Third
2441
#32
100.83.3
96.7→100.0
Auto13.9
Teleop76.8
End9.5
blue by 0.8
6309
#35
101.65.3
91.7→97.0
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed