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Qual 222018 Hawaii Regional
Red266
288155.3
4984166.1
3721127.6
Blue338
21691.8
368164.9
1622163.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330314200250350400450500266338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4984
#2
166.11.4
148.3→149.8
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
red by 1.2
368
#8
164.98.2
131.4→139.6
Auto20.9
Teleop121.5
End22.3
Second
288
#11
155.31.2
142.2→143.4
Auto19.6
Teleop121.1
End16.4
blue by 8.3
1622
#4
163.51.4
152.6→154.0
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End26.8
Third
3721
#29
127.65.3
110.1→115.4
Auto17.1
Teleop101.8
End7.2
red by 35.9
216
#34
91.81.5
106.8→105.3
Auto12.8
Teleop78.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed