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Qual 262018 Hawaii Regional
Red289
1739124.8
2896117.1
288155.3
Blue222
2439120.1
3008145.6
2441100.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323250100200300400500289222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#11
155.30.7
143.4→144.1
Auto19.6
Teleop121.1
End16.4
red by 9.6
3008
#14
145.60.9
139.2→140.2
Auto17.2
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Second
1739
#23
124.85.1
116.2→121.3
Auto14.9
Teleop95.6
End14.9
red by 4.6
2439
#19
120.10.7
113.6→112.9
Auto18.7
Teleop98.5
End1.6
Third
2896
#16
117.11.8
115.2→116.9
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End16.0
red by 16.3
2441
#32
100.80.3
100.0→100.3
Auto13.9
Teleop76.8
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed