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Red365
2445140.0
1378105.0
2443137.0
Blue140
244130.5
3800105.7
2853105.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282307100200400500365140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2445
#18
140.03.6
123.3126.9
Auto18.2
Teleop108.9
End14.9
red by 9.5
244
#26
130.50.2
139.3139.1
Auto16.0
Teleop100.3
End11.8
Second
137.05.3
119.6124.9
Auto24.2
Teleop103.0
End10.7
red by 31.1
2853
#30
105.91.3
117.7119.0
Auto17.1
Teleop81.8
End8.2
Third
1378
#21
105.00.0
98.598.5
Auto12.8
Teleop87.9
End2.5
blue by 0.7
3800
#37
105.73.9
106.6110.5
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed