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Red420
21691.8
2090132.9
4253220.3
Blue357
2438114.1
3882160.5
1622163.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3603150100200400500600700800420357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.32.0
202.8204.7
Auto30.8
Teleop153.5
End37.1
red by 56.8
163.51.5
154.0155.5
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End26.8
Second
2090
#13
132.91.2
120.1121.3
Auto16.0
Teleop95.1
End23.3
blue by 27.6
160.51.8
156.2158.1
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
Third
216
#34
91.80.7
105.3104.5
Auto12.8
Teleop78.1
End2.4
blue by 22.3
2438
#36
114.10.6
120.4119.8
Auto15.6
Teleop91.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed