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Qual 302018 Hawaii Regional
Red303
6308103.0
2437123.5
2465134.9
Blue247
5701120.5
3721127.6
4270121.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2432870100200400500303247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2465
#12
134.95.2
115.6→120.8
Auto15.5
Teleop106.8
End11.0
red by 7.3
3721
#29
127.62.8
115.4→118.3
Auto17.1
Teleop101.8
End7.2
Second
2437
#9
123.52.3
106.5→108.8
Auto17.6
Teleop93.1
End12.4
red by 2.2
4270
#33
121.30.3
123.7→124.0
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6
Third
6308
#28
103.00.4
94.2→94.6
Auto14.8
Teleop78.9
End10.5
blue by 17.5
5701
#27
120.54.1
105.5→109.6
Auto14.4
Teleop96.2
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed