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Red456
4253220.3
1622163.5
2441100.8
Blue225
368164.9
7069111.9
3800105.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3992430100200300500600456225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.31.6
204.7206.3
Auto30.8
Teleop153.5
End37.1
red by 55.5
368
#8
164.94.6
146.5151.1
Auto20.9
Teleop121.5
End22.3
Second
163.51.7
155.5157.2
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End26.8
red by 51.6
7069
#15
111.93.7
105.5109.2
Auto17.1
Teleop86.8
End5.9
Third
2441
#32
100.81.2
100.3101.5
Auto13.9
Teleop76.8
End9.5
blue by 4.9
3800
#37
105.70.1
110.5110.6
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed