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Red271
2443137.0
4270121.3
2439120.1
Blue345
3008145.6
6704142.2
3881126.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2763270100200400500600271345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.03.7
124.9128.6
Auto24.2
Teleop103.0
End10.7
blue by 8.7
3008
#14
145.61.1
140.2141.2
Auto17.2
Teleop108.2
End21.5
Second
4270
#33
121.30.2
124.0124.2
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6
blue by 20.9
6704
#22
142.21.8
128.1129.9
Auto18.3
Teleop106.4
End18.1
Third
2439
#19
120.10.5
112.9113.3
Auto18.7
Teleop98.5
End1.6
blue by 6.2
3881
#17
126.33.6
116.8120.4
Auto18.2
Teleop96.8
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed