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Qual 402018 Hawaii Regional
Red169
5701120.5
2438114.1
7069111.9
Blue387
387894.1
2443137.0
359190.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503420100200300400500169387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5701
#27
120.53.8
112.4→116.2
Auto14.4
Teleop96.2
End9.8
blue by 69.5
359
#3
190.01.4
183.0→184.3
Auto22.4
Teleop135.1
End31.9
Second
2438
#36
114.12.4
120.6→118.2
Auto15.6
Teleop91.1
End6.5
blue by 22.9
2443
#7
137.02.3
128.6→130.9
Auto24.2
Teleop103.0
End10.7
Third
7069
#15
111.92.3
109.2→111.4
Auto17.1
Teleop86.8
End5.9
red by 17.8
3878
#20
94.11.7
88.1→86.4
Auto13.1
Teleop67.9
End16.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsEarned