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Qual 412018 Hawaii Regional
Red251
244130.5
2477113.1
2437123.5
Blue347
3881126.3
2465134.9
2439120.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250317100200400500251347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
244
#26
130.51.0
137.9→136.9
Auto16.0
Teleop100.3
End11.8
blue by 4.5
2465
#12
134.92.9
125.4→128.4
Auto15.5
Teleop106.8
End11.0
Second
2437
#9
123.51.8
111.1→112.8
Auto17.6
Teleop93.1
End12.4
blue by 2.8
3881
#17
126.33.2
120.4→123.6
Auto18.2
Teleop96.8
End8.5
Third
2477
#31
113.10.6
113.9→113.3
Auto15.2
Teleop87.0
End9.7
blue by 7.1
2439
#19
120.10.1
113.3→113.5
Auto18.7
Teleop98.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed