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Qual 422018 Hawaii Regional
Red130
2896117.1
6308103.0
2444126.2
Blue381
3882160.5
6704142.2
1378105.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573300100200300400500130381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2444
#25
126.22.7
124.0→126.7
Auto19.3
Teleop98.2
End10.7
blue by 34.3
3882
#5
160.52.1
160.1→162.1
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
Second
2896
#16
117.11.8
118.8→117.0
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End16.0
blue by 25.0
6704
#22
142.22.1
129.9→132.1
Auto18.3
Teleop106.4
End18.1
Third
6308
#28
103.02.6
95.8→98.4
Auto14.8
Teleop78.9
End10.5
blue by 2.0
1378
#21
105.01.5
98.5→100.0
Auto12.8
Teleop87.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed