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Red254
1378105.0
1622163.5
3800105.7
Blue274
2444126.2
359190.0
244130.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274369100200300400500254274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.50.6
159.2159.8
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End26.8
blue by 26.5
359
#3
190.02.1
184.3186.5
Auto22.4
Teleop135.1
End31.9
Second
3800
#37
105.71.6
110.4112.1
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End4.8
blue by 24.8
244
#26
130.50.5
136.9136.5
Auto16.0
Teleop100.3
End11.8
Third
1378
#21
105.02.5
100.0102.5
Auto12.8
Teleop87.9
End2.5
blue by 21.2
2444
#25
126.20.8
126.7127.5
Auto19.3
Teleop98.2
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed