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Red351
6909130.4
3008145.6
3882160.5
Blue299
2465134.9
5625121.6
4984166.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344322150200250300400450500351299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.52.3
162.1164.5
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
blue by 5.5
166.10.8
153.5154.3
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
Second
3008
#14
145.61.6
142.4144.0
Auto17.2
Teleop108.2
End21.5
red by 10.7
2465
#12
134.92.9
128.4131.2
Auto15.5
Teleop106.8
End11.0
Third
6909
#10
130.44.7
107.6112.2
Auto15.4
Teleop102.1
End14.7
red by 8.8
5625
#24
121.65.2
102.9108.2
Auto16.1
Teleop90.1
End17.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed