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Qual 472018 Hawaii Regional
Red172
3881126.3
21691.8
4270121.3
Blue311
2439120.1
3721127.6
2445140.0
22%Model gave it78%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237321100200400500600172311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3881
#17
126.33.0
123.6→126.7
Auto18.2
Teleop96.8
End8.5
blue by 13.7
2445
#18
140.02.9
131.4→134.2
Auto18.2
Teleop108.9
End14.9
Second
4270
#33
121.30.8
124.3→123.5
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6
blue by 6.4
3721
#29
127.62.5
123.1→125.6
Auto17.1
Teleop101.8
End7.2
Third
216
#34
91.80.3
104.1→103.8
Auto12.8
Teleop78.1
End2.4
blue by 28.4
2439
#19
120.11.1
113.5→114.6
Auto18.7
Teleop98.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed