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Qual 482018 Hawaii Regional
Red319
2896117.1
368164.9
6704142.2
Blue342
1661124.5
2090132.9
5701120.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336261100200300400500600319342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#8
164.92.6
154.1→156.6
Auto20.9
Teleop121.5
End22.3
red by 31.9
2090
#13
132.91.3
121.7→123.0
Auto16.0
Teleop95.1
End23.3
Second
6704
#22
142.23.0
132.1→135.0
Auto18.3
Teleop106.4
End18.1
red by 17.7
1661
#6
124.52.5
112.6→115.2
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
Third
2896
#16
117.12.0
117.0→115.0
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End16.0
blue by 3.4
5701
#27
120.50.2
116.2→116.0
Auto14.4
Teleop96.2
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed