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Qual 602018 Hawaii Regional
Red423
359190.0
6309101.6
4270121.3
Blue264
2853105.9
288155.3
5701120.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343280100200400500423264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
190.01.4
187.7→189.2
Auto22.4
Teleop135.1
End31.9
red by 34.7
288
#11
155.31.9
148.9→150.8
Auto19.6
Teleop121.1
End16.4
Second
4270
#33
121.30.1
122.0→121.9
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6
red by 0.8
5701
#27
120.50.2
117.1→117.3
Auto14.4
Teleop96.2
End9.8
Third
6309
#35
101.61.3
102.3→101.0
Auto14.0
Teleop83.0
End6.1
blue by 4.3
2853
#30
105.90.8
108.3→107.5
Auto17.1
Teleop81.8
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed