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Red441
368164.9
2439120.1
5625121.6
Blue162
3800105.7
2443137.0
1739124.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312283100200400500441162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#8
164.90.6
159.0159.6
Auto20.9
Teleop121.5
End22.3
red by 27.9
137.00.2
139.1139.2
Auto24.2
Teleop103.0
End10.7
Second
5625
#24
121.62.5
111.7114.2
Auto16.1
Teleop90.1
End17.3
blue by 3.2
1739
#23
124.80.3
129.8129.5
Auto14.9
Teleop95.6
End14.9
Third
2439
#19
120.11.1
115.3116.4
Auto18.7
Teleop98.5
End1.6
red by 14.4
3800
#37
105.70.2
112.6112.5
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed