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Red371
2896117.1
4253220.3
4984166.1
Blue111
6308103.0
2445140.0
7069111.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342070100300400500600700371111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.31.9
214.5216.4
Auto30.8
Teleop153.5
End37.1
red by 80.3
2445
#18
140.02.6
136.1138.7
Auto18.2
Teleop108.9
End14.9
Second
166.10.8
155.0155.8
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
red by 54.2
7069
#15
111.90.6
111.8112.4
Auto17.1
Teleop86.8
End5.9
Third
2896
#16
117.10.3
114.4114.8
Auto15.2
Teleop89.2
End16.0
red by 14.1
6308
#28
103.01.8
102.3104.0
Auto14.8
Teleop78.9
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed