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Red495
2090132.9
4984166.1
2438114.1
Blue62
4270121.3
3800105.7
2437123.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32627510020040050060049562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.10.8
155.8156.5
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
red by 42.6
123.52.3
120.6122.9
Auto17.6
Teleop93.1
End12.4
Second
2090
#13
132.91.4
126.4127.8
Auto16.0
Teleop95.1
End23.3
red by 11.7
4270
#33
121.31.0
121.9122.9
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6
Third
2438
#36
114.10.5
112.8112.3
Auto15.6
Teleop91.1
End6.5
red by 8.4
3800
#37
105.71.5
112.5111.0
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed