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Red297
7069111.9
387894.1
3882160.5
Blue247
2445140.0
1661124.5
3881126.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232336100200300400500600297247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.51.8
167.0165.1
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
red by 20.5
2445
#18
140.00.9
139.2140.0
Auto18.2
Teleop108.9
End14.9
Second
7069
#15
111.90.7
112.4111.7
Auto17.1
Teleop86.8
End5.9
blue by 14.4
3881
#17
126.30.3
127.1126.8
Auto18.2
Teleop96.8
End8.5
Third
3878
#20
94.11.4
89.891.2
Auto13.1
Teleop67.9
End16.0
blue by 30.4
124.50.7
122.7123.4
Auto16.5
Teleop101.0
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed