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Red228
2438114.1
3721127.6
3800105.7
Blue405
4984166.1
5701120.5
6704142.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243780100300500600228405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3721
#29
127.60.7
129.9129.2
Auto17.1
Teleop101.8
End7.2
blue by 38.4
166.11.7
156.5158.2
Auto18.5
Teleop117.0
End30.1
Second
2438
#36
114.11.0
112.3113.3
Auto15.6
Teleop91.1
End6.5
blue by 28.1
6704
#22
142.20.5
139.8140.3
Auto18.3
Teleop106.4
End18.1
Third
3800
#37
105.72.9
111.0108.1
Auto16.2
Teleop81.6
End4.8
blue by 14.8
5701
#27
120.51.2
117.8119.0
Auto14.4
Teleop96.2
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed