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Qual 752018 Hawaii Regional
Red107
3882160.5
5625121.6
1739124.8
Blue342
4270121.3
7069111.9
244130.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359260100200300400500600700107342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#5
160.51.0
165.1→164.1
Auto21.9
Teleop120.6
End14.6
red by 30.1
244
#26
130.51.4
132.4→131.0
Auto16.0
Teleop100.3
End11.8
Second
1739
#23
124.81.0
127.9→126.9
Auto14.9
Teleop95.6
End14.9
red by 3.5
4270
#33
121.31.0
122.4→121.3
Auto14.0
Teleop92.2
End14.6
Third
5625
#24
121.62.2
119.4→121.6
Auto16.1
Teleop90.1
End17.3
red by 9.7
7069
#15
111.90.0
111.7→111.6
Auto17.1
Teleop86.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed