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Red304
3019128.6
5242148.0
6060120.2
Blue361
4733103.5
2990175.1
6907165.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733600100200300400500600304361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5242
#52
148.01.6
150.7149.1
Auto20.5
Teleop108.0
End14.1
blue by 27.1
2990
#13
175.10.3
174.0174.3
Auto28.4
Teleop137.5
End8.7
Second
3019
#60
128.60.4
129.0128.6
Auto16.1
Teleop98.4
End14.3
blue by 36.5
6907
#20
165.10.2
164.9165.1
Auto20.5
Teleop122.6
End24.8
Third
6060
#57
120.20.2
119.8120.1
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End16.9
red by 16.7
4733
#64
103.50.5
103.9103.5
Auto15.5
Teleop76.0
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed