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Red422
1902165.0
294186.3
980124.8
Blue307
3495143.7
5801154.2
4400148.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3743180100200500600422307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#15
186.30.5
185.8186.3
Auto25.8
Teleop134.4
End26.8
red by 32.2
5801
#46
154.21.3
155.5154.2
Auto19.3
Teleop120.6
End15.1
Second
1902
#40
165.01.1
163.1164.2
Auto29.1
Teleop121.9
End14.2
red by 16.2
4400
#32
148.90.2
148.6148.8
Auto16.5
Teleop111.3
End19.9
Third
980
#50
124.80.2
124.5124.8
Auto15.5
Teleop96.7
End13.5
blue by 19.0
3495
#26
143.70.1
143.7143.7
Auto17.9
Teleop105.4
End23.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed