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Red240
5496155.7
3495143.7
294186.3
Blue366
6705187.1
957173.1
2583119.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338339250300400450240366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#15
186.30.7
188.8189.5
Auto25.8
Teleop134.4
End26.8
blue by 0.7
6705
#34
187.10.1
190.7190.6
Auto17.0
Teleop152.5
End19.0
Second
5496
#11
155.70.2
151.6151.8
Auto15.1
Teleop118.0
End22.9
blue by 17.4
957
#17
173.10.6
169.5168.9
Auto20.2
Teleop133.4
End23.1
Third
3495
#26
143.71.0
140.3141.3
Auto17.9
Teleop105.4
End23.0
red by 24.6
2583
#24
119.20.7
111.3112.0
Auto16.6
Teleop89.7
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed