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Red250
980124.8
3019128.6
1810136.1
Blue320
6060120.2
7157113.6
5414149.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263308100200400500600250320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#53
136.10.4
130.5130.9
Auto17.6
Teleop97.2
End23.2
blue by 13.7
5414
#41
149.90.5
146.3146.8
Auto22.1
Teleop118.4
End7.0
Second
3019
#60
128.60.3
126.5126.8
Auto16.1
Teleop98.4
End14.3
red by 8.4
6060
#57
120.20.9
117.3116.4
Auto15.3
Teleop87.5
End16.9
Third
980
#50
124.80.2
122.4122.2
Auto15.5
Teleop96.7
End13.5
red by 11.2
7157
#51
113.61.4
108.2109.6
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed