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Qual 252018 Hopper Division
Red325
3339196.5
3223155.3
5809126.4
Blue381
957173.1
3284146.6
5242148.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320349100200400500600700325381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#4Sur
196.51.6
180.9→182.4
Auto25.0
Teleop142.1
End29.9
red by 23.5
957
#17
173.10.2
168.9→168.8
Auto20.2
Teleop133.4
End23.1
Second
3223
#39
155.31.8
147.0→148.7
Auto21.3
Teleop120.3
End16.7
red by 7.3
5242
#52Sur
148.01.2
151.9→153.2
Auto20.5
Teleop108.0
End14.1
Third
5809
#54
126.40.3
122.3→122.6
Auto18.7
Teleop92.6
End16.1
blue by 20.3
3284
#27
146.61.0
147.4→146.4
Auto20.1
Teleop107.3
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned