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Qual 262018 Hopper Division
Red225
2990175.1
7293123.0
1984144.2
Blue460
4400148.9
2283147.3
7157113.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36128902006008001,0001,2001,400225460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#13
175.10.7
177.7→177.0
Auto28.4
Teleop137.5
End8.7
red by 26.2
4400
#32
148.90.2
142.9→142.7
Auto16.5
Teleop111.3
End19.9
Second
1984
#66
144.21.4
148.5→149.9
Auto21.4
Teleop103.5
End17.0
blue by 3.0
2283
#47
147.31.8
135.2→137.0
Auto17.1
Teleop115.1
End12.4
Third
7293
#58
123.00.2
126.9→126.6
Auto16.6
Teleop89.5
End16.1
red by 9.4
7157
#51
113.61.4
109.6→111.1
Auto14.5
Teleop89.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed